Trump’s latest feud is bad news for his Iran plans – Washington Post

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If President Trump hopes to step up pressure on Iran, he didn’t do his cause much of a favor this weekend by picking a fight with Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.).

Trump’s ire was apparently drawn by comments Corker made last week in which he suggested that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and White House Chief of Staff John F. Kelly “are those people that help separate our country from chaos.” It didn’t take much guesswork to figure out what — or who — he meant by “chaos.”

On Sunday morning, Trump responded with a trio of tweets alleging that Corker “begged” him for an endorsement in his 2018 reelection campaign and that Corker decided not to run — he announced that decision late last month — only because he did not “have the guts.”

Corker quickly responded with his own caustic message:

Hours later, Trump responded:

In the Trump era, Twitter feuds are a dime a dozen — but this one will have bigger consequences than most. Corker, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, is a powerful voice when it comes to foreign policy. And while he was once a Trump ally — he advised Trump during last year’s campaign and was considered a contender for secretary of state — Trump’s in-office behavior and Corker’s upcoming retirement have changed everything. Now Corker has nothing left to lose — and perhaps a whole lot to prove.

When it comes to Iran, this will be important. Trump has repeatedly criticized the 2015 agreement that limited Tehran’s nuclear activities, once dubbing it “the worst deal ever.” This week, he is expected to announce a plan to “decertify” the agreement, claiming the deal is not in the interests of the United States. Congress would then have to decide whether to reinstall sanctions on Iran, a move that could collapse the agreement altogether.

However, as my WorldViews colleague Amanda Erickson has explained, the president’s plan is already a big compromise. Trump could have unilaterally killed the deal by refusing to issue the waivers that kept the old sanctions from being imposed. Instead, he punted the decision to Congress. The Post also reports that he may hold off on recommending that sanctions be reinstated.

For the White House, the hope seems to be that the threat of sanctions will make Congress agree to a renegotiation of the Iran deal. In the resulting bipartisan debate about how to deal with Iran, the widely respected Corker would play a big role. “If there is any Republican on Capitol Hill who stands a chance of persuading Democrats to come on board, it is Corker,” as The Post’s Karoun Demirjian put it Sunday.

Given the small Republican majority in the Senate, Trump needs Corker’s support for a number of other legislative measures, including tax reform and health care. Corker also controls diplomatic confirmations, which means he could hold up the appointment of a new secretary of state if Rex Tillerson — another man in questionable standing with Trump — leaves office.

That the president would get into an unnecessary spat with a man whose help he badly needs has confounded some critics. “Trump’s entire Iran plan rests on a careful dance with Congress,” Ilan Goldenberg, a former Obama administration official and the director of the Middle East Security Program at the Center for a New American Security, wrote on Twitter. “Corker may be the most important partner in that dance. This is so dumb.”

There may be some twisted method to Trump’s madness. He is aware that the majority of Americans, many of U.S. allies and even a number of senior members of his own staff favor keeping the deal. He also knows his own base is deeply skeptical of the deal, and he is keen to undermine the Obama-era agreement if he can.

By handing off any real decision to Congress, he can avoid having to make a hard decision himself. And by picking a fight with Corker, he has a scapegoat if his supporters grow frustrated with a lack of action in Congress. It seems plausible that Trump’s allies are simply being prepared for another legislative failure.

Tellingly, in his tweets Sunday, Trump accused Corker of being “largely responsible for the horrendous Iran Deal” — a surprisingly widespread criticism of Corker among Iran hawks on social media. In reality, Corker was critical of the Iran deal, and he has continued to push for further sanctions on Iranian entities. The bill he helped pass with Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin (D-Md.) in 2015 was designed to give Congress a say in the negotiations, not acquiesce to them.

This may not be the only misrepresentation in Trump’s tweets: Corker’s staff has disputed the claims that he sought Trump’s endorsement, instead saying that the president had called the senator last week to ask him to reconsider his decision to retire.

As such, Trump’s bluster seems unlikely to actually produce the meaningful changes to Iran policy he says he wants. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) already showed the limits of Trump’s bullying approach toward Congress by helping to kill Obamacare repeal over the summer. In fact, given the once-friendly relationship between Trump and Corker, the president’s animosity to the senator may end up being more of a warning signal to other potential friends than a way to bring more of them into line.

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